WTA DubaiHard1/32-finals16 Feb 2026 · 14:20
J. Ostapenko
#40 · Latvia
VS
A. Kalinskaya
#22 · Russia
OSTAPENKO
2.81
·
KALINSKAYA
1.48

Odds

Market
Ostapenko
Kalinskaya
Winner
2.81
1.48

Player analysis

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.6 to 16.3, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.44Trend mixed

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

DS -1.18Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Ostapenko
Stat
Kalinskaya
57%
Win rate
60.3%
207–156
W–L
170–112

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

04
Hard 04
J. Ostapenko vs A. Kalinskaya head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DubaiHard1/32-finalsKalinskaya6-2 1-6 4-6
WTA MiamiHard1/16-finalsKalinskaya6-3 6-1
WTA DubaiHard1/8-finalsKalinskaya4-6 5-7
Adelaide 2Hard1/16-finalsKalinskaya3-6 4-6