US OpenHard1/64-finals25 Aug 2025 · 19:45
A. Kalinskaya
#22 · Russia
VS
C. Ngounoue
#298 · USA

Odds

Market
Kalinskaya
Ngounoue
Winner

Player analysis

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS -1.74Trend down

C. Ngounoue comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning C. Ngounoue has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Ngounoue vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ngounoue has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -5.73Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kalinskaya
Stat
Ngounoue
60.3%
Win rate
63.6%
170–112
W–L
82–47

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4