Odds
Player analysis
C. Ngounoue comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning C. Ngounoue has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Ngounoue vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ngounoue has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 11.8, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 27 Sep | Fruhvirtova | 1-6 3-6 | L |
| 22 Sep | Bucsa | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 25 Aug | Kalinskaya | 6-0 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 9 Aug | Mertens | 6-3 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 8 Aug | Baptiste | 6-1 4-6 6-1 | W |

