RomeClay1/8-finals11 May 2026 · 11:00
A. Kalinskaya
#24 · Russia
VS
J. Ostapenko
#36 · Latvia

Odds

Market
Kalinskaya
Ostapenko
Change
Winner

Player analysis

A. Kalinskaya has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS -1.59Trend up

J. Ostapenko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 76. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 35.9, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.84Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kalinskaya
Stat
Ostapenko
49.4%
Win rate
61.2%
44–45
W–L
79–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults7

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

40
Hard 40
A. Kalinskaya vs J. Ostapenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DubaiHard1/32-finalsKalinskaya6-2 1-6 4-6
WTA MiamiHard1/16-finalsKalinskaya6-3 6-1
WTA DubaiHard1/8-finalsKalinskaya4-6 5-7
Adelaide 2Hard1/16-finalsKalinskaya3-6 4-6