J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.