CincinnatiHardQuarter-finals15 Aug 2025 · 17:10
I. Swiatek
#4 · Poland
VS
A. Kalinskaya
#22 · Russia
SWIATEK
1.23
·
KALINSKAYA
4.79

Odds

Market
Swiatek
Kalinskaya
Winner
1.23
4.79

Player analysis

I. Swiatek comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 8.47Trend down

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

DS -1.18Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Swiatek
Stat
Kalinskaya
77.1%
Win rate
60.3%
212–63
W–L
170–112

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

31
Hard 31
I. Swiatek vs A. Kalinskaya head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - 1/16-finalsSwiatek1-6 6-1 1-6
US OpenHard1/16-finalsSwiatek6-7 4-6
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-3 6-4
WTA DubaiHardSemi-finalsKalinskaya4-6 4-6