WTA Australian OpenHard1/16-finals24 Jan 2026 · 09:10
A. Kalinskaya
#21 · Russia
VS
I. Swiatek
#3 · Poland
KALINSKAYA
4.38
·
SWIATEK
1.26

Odds

Market
Kalinskaya
Swiatek
Winner
4.38
1.26

Player analysis

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kalinskaya has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -8.31Trend mixed

I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS 12.06Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

12 MarSvitolina6-2 4-6 6-4L
11 MarMuchova2-6 0-6W
10 MarSakkari3-6 2-6W
7 MarDay0-6 6-7W
12 FebSwiatek6-2 4-6 5-7W
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

9 MarMboko6-4 6-1L
6 MarSonmez4-6 6-7W
17 FebGauff6-4 6-4L
16 FebOstapenko6-2 1-6 4-6W
12 FebMuchova6-3 6-4L

Hard court stats

Kalinskaya
Stat
Swiatek
60.3%
Win rate
77.1%
170–112
W–L
212–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults4

Head to head

13
Hard 13
A. Kalinskaya vs I. Swiatek head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsSwiatek1-6 6-1 1-6
US OpenHard1/16-finalsSwiatek6-7 4-6
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-3 6-4
WTA DubaiHardSemi-finalsKalinskaya4-6 4-6