WTA MeridaHardFinal22 Feb 2026 · 20:55
H. Watson
#261 · United Kingdom
VS
L. Karatancheva
#291 · Bulgaria
WATSON
1.43
·
KARATANCHEVA
2.96

Odds

Market
Watson
Karatancheva
Winner
1.43
2.96

Player analysis

H. Watson comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning H. Watson has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving H. Watson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.79Trend down

L. Karatancheva comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning L. Karatancheva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving L. Karatancheva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

24 FebManeiro6-3 6-1L
22 FebKaratancheva6-3 4-6 7-5W
21 FebParry4-6 4-6W
19 AugGorgodze6-3 3-6 4-6L
5 AugZakharova2-6 3-6L
Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

11 MarCharaeva6-2 6-4L
9 MarMonnet6-4 6-3L
8 MarPaquet6-4 6-2W
1 MarKostovic6-1 6-2L
22 FebWatson6-3 4-6 7-5L

Hard court stats

Watson
Stat
Karatancheva
54.6%
Win rate
36.2%
269–224
W–L
21–37

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2