WTA AdelaideHard1/16-finals12 Jan 2026 · 09:10
D. Kasatkina
#64 · Australia
VS
M. Sakkari
#33 · Greece
KASATKINA
2.53
·
SAKKARI
1.58

Odds

Market
Kasatkina
Sakkari
Winner
2.53
1.58

Player analysis

D. Kasatkina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 6.17Trend down

M. Sakkari has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Sakkari was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 1.27Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWL

3W 2L last 5

16 FebSiegemund2-6 3-6W
11 FebSwiatek5-7 6-1 6-1L
10 FebMertens6-4 6-0W
8 FebUchijima4-6 6-3 6-0W
2 FebWaltert6-7 6-3 4-6L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarSwiatek3-6 2-6L
7 MarTagger7-5 6-0W
13 FebMuchova6-3 4-6 1-6L
12 FebSwiatek6-2 4-6 5-7W
11 FebGracheva6-7 0-6W

Hard court stats

Kasatkina
Stat
Sakkari
58%
Win rate
56.5%
211–153
W–L
212–163

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults2