K. Siniakova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 63. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning K. Siniakova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Siniakova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

D. Kasatkina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.0 to 14.8, with at least one match where D. Kasatkina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.