MontrealHard1/8-finals3 Aug 2025 · 18:40
M. Keys
#17 · USA
VS
K. Muchova
#12 · Czech Republic
KEYS
1.57
·
MUCHOVA
2.59

Odds

Market
Keys
Muchova
Winner
1.57
2.59
Total
line 17.5
1.16
Over 17.5
4.1
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.19
Over 18.0
3.8
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
5.15
-6.5 games
1.14
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
4.7
-6.0 games
1.17
+6 games

Player analysis

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

K. Muchova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 40. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.32Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Keys
Stat
Muchova
62.7%
Win rate
69.3%
249–148
W–L
138–61

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 20
M. Keys vs K. Muchova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MontrealHard1/8-finalsKeys4-6 6-3 7-5
BeijingHard1/32-finalsKeys4-6 6-7