WTA Australian OpenHard1/8-finals26 Jan 2026 · 01:45
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VS
M. Keys
#17 · USA
PEGULA
1.64
·
KEYS
2.4

Odds

Market
Pegula
Keys
Winner
1.64
2.4
Total
line 17.5
1.14
Over 17.5
4.33
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.17
Over 18.0
4.05
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
7.01
-6.5 games
1.1
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
6.23
-6.0 games
1.12
+6 games

Player analysis

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.1, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.16Trend mixed

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Pegula
Stat
Keys
66.4%
Win rate
62.7%
290–147
W–L
249–148

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

22
Hard 22
J. Pegula vs M. Keys head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - 1/8-finalsPegula6-3 6-4
AdelaideHardFinalKeys3-6 6-4 1-6
WTA US OpenHard1/8-finalsKeys6-1 6-3
San DiegoHardQuarter-finalsPegula6-4 7-5