Finals - RiyadhIndoor1 Nov 2025 · 16:15
I. Swiatek
#4 · Poland
VS
M. Keys
#17 · USA
SWIATEK
1.22
·
KEYS
4.75

Odds

Market
Swiatek
Keys
Winner
1.22
4.75
Total
line 15.5
1.08
Over 15.5
5.98
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.05
Over 16.0
7.1
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
16.5
-9.5 games
1
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
16
-9.0 games
1
+9 games

Player analysis

I. Swiatek comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 8.47Trend down

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

52
Indoor 10
Clay 30
Hard 12
I. Swiatek vs M. Keys head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - RiyadhIndoorSwiatek6-1 6-2
MadridClayQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-0 3-6 2-6
Australian OpenHardSemi-finalsKeys5-7 6-1 7-6
WTA RomeClayQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-1 6-3
WTA MadridClaySemi-finalsSwiatek6-1 6-3
CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsKeys3-6 4-6
Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-1