Odds
Player analysis
M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Starodubtseva | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Bencic | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Bondar | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 1 Apr | Vekic | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Zheng | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 19 Mar | Linette | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Muchova | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Sakkari | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Day | 0-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Swiatek | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Madrid | Clay | Quarter-finals | Swiatek | 6-0 3-6 2-6 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Keys | 5-7 6-1 7-6 | |
| WTA Rome | Clay | Quarter-finals | Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 | |
| WTA Madrid | Clay | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Keys | 3-6 4-6 | |
| Indian Wells | Hard | Quarter-finals | Swiatek | 6-1 |