M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.9 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.