D. Ostapenkov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 20.0, with at least one match where D. Ostapenkov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving D. Ostapenkov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

Y. Kikuchi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.7, meaning Y. Kikuchi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving Y. Kikuchi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.