D. Ostapenkov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.2 with a downward trend. D. Ostapenkov is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Ostapenkov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Ostapenkov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

Sun Qian comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 3. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.9, meaning Sun Qian has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Sun Qian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Sun Qian has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.