Odds
Player analysis
D. Ostapenkov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.2 with a downward trend. D. Ostapenkov is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Ostapenkov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Ostapenkov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
U. Park comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning U. Park has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving U. Park vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Apr | Qian | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 6 Apr | Park | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 2 Mar | Matsuda | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 18 Jan | Albot | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 17 Nov | Opitz | 6-3 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Ostapenkov | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Tabata | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sureshkumar | 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 15 Feb | Sasikumar | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 25 Jan | Matsuoka | 7-6 6-3 | L |

