Odds
Player analysis
N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.4 to 16.8, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
J. Paul comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning J. Paul has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Paul has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 May | Juan | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 5 May | Svrcina | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 4 May | Virtanen | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Apr | Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Shapovalov | 6-2 6-1 | W |

