ValenciaClaySemi-finals11 May 2026 · 11:10
J. Paul
#533 · Switzerland
VS
S. Napolitano
#246 · Italy
PAUL
3.07
·
NAPOLITANO
1.38

Odds

Market
Paul
Napolitano
Winner
3.07
1.38
Total
line 20.0
1.65
Over 20.0
2.08
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.81
Over 20.5
1.98
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.35
-3.0 games
1.58
+3 games
Handicap
games
2.14
-3.5 games
1.7
+3.5 games

Player analysis

J. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.2 to 16.2, with at least one match where J. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Paul has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS 0.91Trend up

S. Napolitano has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.2 to 13.2, with at least one match where S. Napolitano was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Napolitano vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Paul
Stat
Napolitano
56.5%
Win rate
53.4%
83–64
W–L
151–132

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
Aces2
Double faults1
BP saved50%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults1
BP converted40%