Odds
Player analysis
S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
V. Royer comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 12.2, with at least one match where V. Royer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Landaluce | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Carabelli | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Minaur | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Comesana | 7-5 6-0 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Martinez | 7-6 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Butvilas | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Tirante | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Navone | 6-2 7-6 | L |
| 13 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 4-6 6-7 | W |

