MiamiHard1/16-finals22 Mar 2026 · 20:05
C. Alcaraz
#1 · Spain
VS
S. Korda
#41 · USA
ALCARAZ
1.134
·
KORDA
7.09

Odds

Market
Alcaraz
Korda
Winner
1.134
7.09
Total
line 21.0
1.847
Over 21.0
2.01
Under 21.0
Total
line 20.5
1.83
Over 20.5
1.83
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.83
-4.5 games
1.83
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.69
-5.5 games
1.42
+5.5 games

Player analysis

C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 6.65Trend up

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Alcaraz
Stat
Korda
78%
Win rate
62.5%
156–44
W–L
167–100

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

42
Hard 01
Clay 21
Grass 10
Indoor 10
C. Alcaraz vs S. Korda head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardATP 1/16-finalsKorda3-6 7-5 4-6
ATP French OpenClay1/16-finalsAlcaraz4-6 6-7 3-6
ATP LondonGrassSemi-finalsAlcaraz6-3 6-4
French OpenClay1/16-finalsAlcaraz4-6 4-6 2-6
Monte CarloClay1/16-finalsKorda7-6 6-7 6-3
Next Gen Finals - MilanIndoorFinalAlcaraz4-3 4-2 4-2