Odds
Player analysis
C. Alcaraz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Alcaraz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Korda | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 14 Mar | Medvedev | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Norrie | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Mar | Ruud | 6-1 7-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Landaluce | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Carabelli | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Minaur | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Comesana | 7-5 6-0 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Hard | ATP 1/16-finals | Korda | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Alcaraz | 4-6 6-7 3-6 | |
| ATP London | Grass | Semi-finals | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-4 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Alcaraz | 4-6 4-6 2-6 | |
| Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/16-finals | Korda | 7-6 6-7 6-3 | |
| Next Gen Finals - Milan | Indoor | Final | Alcaraz | 4-3 4-2 4-2 |

