M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.8 to 34.1, with at least one match where M. Kostyuk was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.