Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
M. Kostyuk arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 27 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Pegula | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Apr | Putintseva | 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 19 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 18 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-0 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 28 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 27 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 23 Apr | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

