WTA BrisbaneHardFinal11 Jan 2026 · 07:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
M. Kostyuk
#23 · Ukraine
SABALENKA
1.28
·
KOSTYUK
4.06

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Kostyuk
Winner
1.28
4.06

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.03Trend mixed

M. Kostyuk arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 19.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Kostyuk
72.8%
Win rate
63.6%
302–113
W–L
154–88

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

50
Hard 20
Clay 30
A. Sabalenka vs M. Kostyuk head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA BrisbaneHardFinalSabalenka6-4 6-3
RomeClay1/8-finalsSabalenka6-1 7-6
MadridClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka7-6 7-6
WTA French OpenClay1/64-finalsSabalenka3-6 2-6
DubaiHard1/16-finalsSabalenka6-4 6-1