Odds
Player analysis
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 5 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Etcheverry | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Vallejo | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Fils | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Sakamoto | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Moutet | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 5 Mar | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-7 | W |

