S. Kozlov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.4 to 19.3, with at least one match where S. Kozlov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Kozlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Kozlov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

K. Poling comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving K. Poling vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.