A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

B. Krejcikova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.7 with a downward trend. B. Krejcikova is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving B. Krejcikova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.