Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-29 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 26 Mar | Baptiste | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | McNally | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 23 Mar | Zheng | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Li | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Rybakina | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 25 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Putintseva | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Indian Wells | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Australian Open - Final | Rybakina | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | |
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Final | Rybakina | 3-6 6-7 | |
| Wuhan | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 4-6 | |
| Berlin | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 7-6 3-6 7-6 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Rybakina | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | ||
| WTA Madrid | Clay | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-1 5-7 6-7 | |
| WTA Brisbane | Hard | Final | Rybakina | 0-6 3-6 |