MiamiHard1/16-finals23 Mar 2026 · 00:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
C. McNally
#69 · USA
SABALENKA
1.053
·
MCNALLY
13.94

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
McNally
Winner
1.053
13.94
Total
line 17.5
1.95
Over 17.5
1.85
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
2.14
Over 18.5
1.7
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.474
-5.5 games
2.82
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.73
-6.5 games
2
+6.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-29 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 11.69Trend mixed

C. McNally comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning C. McNally has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. McNally vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.69Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
McNally
72.8%
Win rate
55.9%
302–113
W–L
100–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults3