CincinnatiHardSemi-finals17 Aug 2025 · 21:15
V. Kudermetova
#57 · Russia
VS
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy

Odds

Market
Kudermetova
Paolini
Winner

Player analysis

V. Kudermetova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 21.9, with at least one match where V. Kudermetova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving V. Kudermetova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Kudermetova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 2.55Trend mixed

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

16 OctPaolini2-6 5-7L
14 OctRuzic3-6 2-6W
7 OctFrech6-3 2-6 6-3L
28 SepBouzkova3-6 5-7L
26 SepBondar7-5 6-3W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarBucsa5-7 4-6L
28 FebBoulter0-6 6-3 6-3W

Hard court stats

Kudermetova
Stat
Paolini
55.5%
Win rate
54.2%
167–134
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2