Odds
Player analysis
M. Lajal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.7 with a downward trend. M. Lajal is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Lajal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Lajal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
F. Passaro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 8.1, with at least one match where F. Passaro was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Passaro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Berrettini | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Dippenaar | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Jan | Kotov | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Kukushkin | 6-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Feb | Tabilo | 4-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Prizmic | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 15 Feb | Gaubas | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Feb | Moller | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | Buse | 5-7 7-5 6-4 | L |

