MadridClay1/64-finals23 Apr 2025 · 11:10
A. Sasnovich
#109 · Belarus
VS
A. Li
#34 · USA
SASNOVICH
1.92
·
LI
1.97

Odds

Market
Sasnovich
Li
Winner
1.92
1.97
Total
line 18.5
1.29
Over 18.5
3.1
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.33
Over 19.0
2.92
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
1.46
-3.5 games
2.61
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.46
-3.0 games
1.51
+3 games

Player analysis

A. Sasnovich comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. A. Sasnovich is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Sasnovich vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 4.62Trend down

A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sasnovich
Stat
Li
54.7%
Win rate
62.5%
99–82
W–L
55–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Clay 01
Hard 10
A. Sasnovich vs A. Li head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/64-finalsLi3-6 2-6
Melbourne (Summer Set 2)HardSemi-finalsSasnovich6-7 6-2 3-6