Brisbane 2Hard1/16-finals10 Feb 2026 · 01:10
J. Mackenzie
#1034 · Germany
VS
M. Polmans
#362 · Australia

Odds

Market
Mackenzie
Polmans
Winner

Player analysis

J. Mackenzie comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Mackenzie has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

M. Polmans comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning M. Polmans has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Polmans vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS -0.72Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

10 FebPolmans5-7 6-2 1-6L
9 FebSinclair6-2 4-6 4-6L
8 FebFerguson3-6 4-6W
22 OctDodig1-6 7-6 3-6L
20 OctForti6-2 6-3W
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

10 MarKozlov6-1 3-6 6-4L
9 MarMatsuoka2-6 2-6W
11 FebMatsuoka6-4 6-7 3-6L
10 FebMackenzie5-7 6-2 1-6W
13 JanMoller6-4 7-6L

Hard court stats

Mackenzie
Stat
Polmans
40%
Win rate
53.2%
2–3
W–L
189–166

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces10
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults5