J. Thompson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 12.5, with at least one match where J. Thompson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Thompson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 18.0, with at least one match where A. Mannarino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.