Odds
Player analysis
P. Stearns comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 26.9, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
P. Marcinko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.6 to 15.1, with at least one match where P. Marcinko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving P. Marcinko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Marcinko has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Boisson | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 2 Apr | Kessler | 0-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Krueger | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 21 Mar | Cristian | 4-6 5-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Apr | Bencic | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Kasintseva | 6-0 7-5 | W |
| 18 Apr | Kraus | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Sramkova | 6-7 7-5 3-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Minnen | 2-6 4-6 | W |

