Odds
Player analysis
T. Maria comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning T. Maria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving T. Maria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
L. Siegemund comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning L. Siegemund has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Siegemund vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Siegemund has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 1 Apr | Kawa | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Mediorreal | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Baptiste | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 4 Mar | Cirstea | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Linette | 7-6 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Mar | Eala | 6-7 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 17 Mar | Marcinko | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 8 Mar | Svitolina | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Marcinko | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kasatkina | 2-6 3-6 | L |

