L. Siegemund comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning L. Siegemund has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Siegemund vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

P. Marcinko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.6 to 15.1, with at least one match where P. Marcinko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving P. Marcinko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Marcinko has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.