Odds
Player analysis
F. Marozsan has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving F. Marozsan vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Apr | Dzumhur | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Aguilar | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Altmaier | 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 3 Apr | Sakellaridis | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Fonseca | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Jan | Taberner | 6-4 6-0 6-3 | W |
| 8 Jan | Shang | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Jan | Sakamoto | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 7 Nov | Norrie | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |

