Odds
Player analysis
E. Spizzirri has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Spizzirri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.
F. Marozsan comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning F. Marozsan has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving F. Marozsan vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Marozsan has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Feb | Jones | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Duckworth | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sinner | 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Wu | 6-2 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 20 Jan | Fonseca | 4-6 6-2 1-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Medvedev | 6-2 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 23 Apr | Quinn | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 16 Apr | Shapovalov | 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Tsitsipas | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Hurkacz | 2-6 3-6 | L |

