K. Smith has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.7 to 16.0, with at least one match where K. Smith was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

M. Martineau comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning M. Martineau has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Martineau vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.