Odds
Player analysis
H. Moriya shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 463. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.3 to 9.6, with at least one match where H. Moriya was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Moriya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
K. Matsuda comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning K. Matsuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 30 Mar | Takahashi | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Filar | 6-0 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 22 Mar | Imamura | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Bolt | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 13 Feb | Sweeny | 7-5 7-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 30 Mar | Kusuhara | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Nefve | 6-4 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 22 Mar | Sun | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 6 Jan | Sharipov | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 5 Jan | Pantaratorn | 6-3 6-2 | W |

