Odds
Player analysis
H. Moriya has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning H. Moriya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Moriya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
D. Sweeny comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning D. Sweeny has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Sweeny vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Sweeny has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Feb | Bolt | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 13 Feb | Sweeny | 7-5 7-6 | W |
| 12 Feb | Sach | 7-6 0-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | Bouzige | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 2 Feb | Uchiyama | 2-6 1-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 9 Mar | Fery | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | L |
| 3 Mar | Aguilar | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Johnson | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Zhukayev | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 13 Feb | Moriya | 7-5 7-6 | L |

