MatsuyamaHardSemi-finals2 Nov 2025 · 03:30
R. Matsuda
#568 · Japan
VS
K. Ogura
#939 · Japan

Odds

Market
Matsuda
Ogura
Winner

Player analysis

R. Matsuda comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -16.0, meaning R. Matsuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Matsuda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS -16Trend mixed

K. Ogura has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.8 to 28.6, with at least one match where K. Ogura was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 4.64Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Matsuda
Stat
Ogura
51.5%
Win rate
42.8%
121–114
W–L
68–91

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3