MatsuyamaHardSemi-finals2 Nov 2025 · 03:30
R. Matsuda
#526 · Japan
VS
K. Ogura
#888 · Japan

Odds

Market
Matsuda
Ogura
Winner

Player analysis

R. Matsuda comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning R. Matsuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving R. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.24Trend up

K. Ogura has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.8 to 28.6, with at least one match where K. Ogura was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 4.64Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

2 MarOstapenkov6-1 4-6 6-3L
22 FebHuang6-7 3-6L
4 JanM.3-6 4-6L
25 NovShiraishi4-6 6-3 5-7L
24 NovJones6-4 7-5W
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

16 FebJones6-1 6-3L
15 FebKobelt5-7 2-6W
6 JanLangmo6-4 6-4L
5 JanCook6-7 6-7W
4 JanDelaney0-6 4-6W

Hard court stats

Matsuda
Stat
Ogura
51.5%
Win rate
42.8%
121–114
W–L
68–91

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3