NonthaburiHard1/16-finals6 Jan 2026 · 08:30
H. Matsuoka
#376 · Japan
VS
F. Sun
#264 · China
MATSUOKA
1.73
·
SUN
2.2

Odds

Market
Matsuoka
Sun
Winner
1.73
2.2

Player analysis

H. Matsuoka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Matsuoka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 5.66Trend down

F. Sun comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning F. Sun has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Sun vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -2Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWL

3W 2L last 5

2 MarMurtaza6-1 6-1W
13 FebZhang3-6 5-7L
11 FebPolmans6-4 6-7 3-6W
9 FebDelaney6-4 6-4W
3 FebHewitt6-3 7-6L
Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

10 FebEllis7-6 3-6 7-5L
5 FebEllis6-7 4-6L
3 FebSanchis6-4 6-3W
27 JanBax2-6 6-3 6-4L
20 JanBiryukov6-4 6-3L

Hard court stats

Matsuoka
Stat
Sun
49.5%
Win rate
52.8%
49–50
W–L
131–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces7
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults2