V. Mboko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.2 to 31.8, with at least one match where V. Mboko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.