ShanghaiHardFinal30 Sep 2025 · 10:25
M. McDonald
#126 · USA
VS
R. Sakamoto
#165 · Japan

Odds

Market
McDonald
Sakamoto
Winner

Player analysis

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.8, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -11.83Trend mixed

R. Sakamoto comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning R. Sakamoto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.74Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

McDonald
Stat
Sakamoto
56.8%
Win rate
58.3%
260–198
W–L
67–48

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1