MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2026 · 19:50
R. Sakamoto
#165 · Japan
VS
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
SAKAMOTO
10.87
·
MEDVEDEV
1.07

Odds

Market
Sakamoto
Medvedev
Winner
10.87
1.07
Total
line 16.5
1.08
Over 16.5
5.6
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.1
Over 17.0
5.15
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
6.8
-2.0 games
1.08
+2 games
Handicap
games
5.6
-2.5 games
1.12
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.3 to 11.7, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 0.26Trend up

D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 4.82Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sakamoto
Stat
Medvedev
58.3%
Win rate
72.6%
67–48
W–L
378–143

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2