Odds
Market
McHugh
Smith
Winner
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Player analysis
A. McHugh comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning A. McHugh has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. McHugh vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS -1.75Trend down
K. Smith has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 19.6, with at least one match where K. Smith was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
DS 4.98Trend mixed
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Jan | Ritschard | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 4 Jan | Sheehy | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 12 Nov | Zhang | 6-7 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 12 Nov | Cassone | 6-1 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 21 Oct | Banerjee | 6-3 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Martineau | 6-3 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Gaston | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 4 Mar | Holmgren | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 2 Mar | Oberleitner | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 1 Mar | Martineau | 1-6 5-7 | W |
Hard court stats
McHughStatSmith
59.3%Win rate61.1%
226–155W–L184–117

