S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.6, meaning S. Tsitsipas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

R. Pacheco Mendez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.6 to 22.2, with at least one match where R. Pacheco Mendez was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.