Odds
Player analysis
A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
D. Michalski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning D. Michalski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Michalski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Michalski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Mar | Sachko | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Jianu | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Engel | 3-6 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 17 Mar | Tiffon | 6-4 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 30 Mar | Basilashvili | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 24 Mar | Silva | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 19 Mar | Gea | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 17 Mar | Pieri | 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 23 Feb | Gray | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |

