BastadClaySemi-finals13 Jul 2025 · 16:30
A. Pellegrino
#134 · Italy
VS
D. Michalski
#261 · Poland

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Michalski
Winner

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.19Trend up

D. Michalski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning D. Michalski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Michalski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Michalski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -4.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Michalski
54.4%
Win rate
65.8%
233–195
W–L
225–117

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2